If the election were held today
Germany
Bundestag · as of 6 October 2026 · party vote forecast
The detailed forecast pages are German-only for now.
- CDU/CSU18.5
- AfD28
- SPD14.5
- Grüne15.5
- Linke10.5
- BSW3
- FDP4
- Others6
More forecasts
Vote shares, if the election were held today
- Landtagswahl Saarland18 April 2027SPD 26AfD 25CDU 20Grüne 9.5Open
- Landtagswahl Schleswig-Holstein18 April 2027CDU 24AfD 19.5Grüne 17.5SPD 16Open
- Landtagswahl Nordrhein-Westfalen25 April 2027CDU 27.5AfD 22.5Grüne 18.5SPD 15Open
- Bürgerschaftswahl Bremen30 May 2027SPD 21CDU 19AfD 17.5Grüne 15.5Linke 13Open
- Landtagswahl Niedersachsen26 September 2027SPD 27AfD 21.5CDU 20Grüne 15.5Open
- Landtagswahl Baden-WürttembergGrüne 33AfD 23.5CDU 21Open
In preparation: Austria, Netherlands, New Zealand, United Kingdom
Upcoming elections
| 18 April 2027 | Landtagswahl Saarland | Forecast live |
|---|---|---|
| 18 April 2027 | Landtagswahl Schleswig-Holstein | Forecast live |
| 25 April 2027 | Landtagswahl Nordrhein-Westfalen | Forecast live |
| 30 May 2027 | Bürgerschaftswahl Bremen | Forecast live |
| 26 September 2027 | Landtagswahl Niedersachsen | Forecast live |
Track record
After every election we publish how close our final forecast was, next to the pollsters — including the ones where others did better.
Wahl zum Abgeordnetenhaus Berlin 20261.43 pts · 2 of 4